Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.005669 0.006468 0.007390 0.008544 0.009969 0.011694 0.013977
2026-01-25 0.004495 0.005445 0.006644 0.008305 0.010614 0.013822 0.018838
2026-02-01 0.003759 0.004723 0.006007 0.007908 0.010775 0.015180 0.023037
2026-02-08 0.003254 0.004195 0.005501 0.007530 0.010793 0.016234 0.027119
2026-02-15 0.003005 0.003974 0.005371 0.007653 0.011573 0.018722 0.035079
2026-02-22 0.002738 0.003688 0.005097 0.007488 0.011811 0.020293 0.042091
2026-03-01 0.002500 0.003417 0.004809 0.007244 0.011842 0.021449 0.048926
2026-03-08 0.002313 0.003204 0.004584 0.007069 0.011956 0.022816 0.057510
2026-03-15 0.002227 0.003136 0.004583 0.007283 0.012888 0.026437 0.077339
2026-03-22 0.002167 0.003102 0.004630 0.007591 0.014094 0.031343 0.110198
2026-03-29 0.002122 0.003087 0.004707 0.007965 0.015557 0.037853 0.167554
2026-04-05 0.002014 0.002958 0.004570 0.007887 0.015912 0.041118 0.216267
2026-04-12 0.001915 0.002845 0.004464 0.007891 0.016571 0.046293 0.312672
2026-04-19 0.001797 0.002692 0.004270 0.007683 0.016630 0.049385 0.416545
2026-04-26 0.001672 0.002519 0.004026 0.007327 0.016185 0.050150 0.501664
2026-05-03 0.001561 0.002363 0.003800 0.006988 0.015714 0.050592 0.598444
2026-05-10 0.001512 0.002313 0.003773 0.007098 0.016634 0.058704 1.108994
2026-05-17 0.001439 0.002214 0.003643 0.006949 0.016704 0.062526 1.705312
2026-05-24 0.001365 0.002109 0.003492 0.006730 0.016490 0.064636 2.472574
2026-05-31 0.001302 0.002022 0.003371 0.006572 0.016452 0.067988 4.143410
2026-06-07 0.001279 0.002006 0.003391 0.006765 0.017716 0.082239 24.351499
2026-06-14 0.001264 0.002003 0.003439 0.007042 0.019416 0.103993 NaN
2026-06-21 0.001254 0.002010 0.003505 0.007379 0.021531 0.136927 NaN